Trump warns Mexico of tariffs over water deficit

 April 12, 2025

President Donald Trump has raised the prospect of imposing tariffs and sanctions on Mexico, escalating a water dispute that Texas farmers claim is due under a longstanding treaty. The issue has increasingly unsettled agricultural sectors in South Texas already suffering from the impact of severe droughts, Fox News reported.

The 1944 Water Treaty calls for Mexico to deliver 1.75 million acre-feet of water to the U.S. every five years.According to Trump, Mexico is currently falling short by 1.3 million acre-feet, significantly affecting the agricultural landscape.

This deficit has intensified challenges for American farmers, particularly in drought-stricken regions.The controversy arises from the 1944 Water Treaty, under which Mexico agreed to supply the U.S. with water from the Rio Grande. This treaty is fundamental for agriculture in Texas, where consistent water supply is crucial, especially given the recent drought conditions.

South Texas Farmers Face Hardships

South Texas farmers, especially those growing citrus and sugar, have borne the brunt of Mexico's noncompliance. The region's mounting drought conditions have exacerbated these difficulties, highlighting the necessity for Mexico to honor its water delivery obligations. The current water shortages, considered the most severe in almost 30 years, have left many agricultural enterprises struggling.

Last year, the scarcity of water led to the closure of the last sugar mill in Texas, underscoring the crisis. In response, Trump's administration has taken measures to pressure Mexico into compliance with the treaty. One such recent decision is the halting of water shipments to the Mexican city of Tijuana, a strategic move aimed at compelling adherence from Mexico.

Diplomatic Tensions Rise Over Water Issues

President Trump took to Truth Social, articulating his grievances and the repercussions of the treaty's breach.

He labeled the situation as profoundly unfair to South Texas farmers, emphasizing the economic toll: "This is very unfair, and it is hurting South Texas Farmers very badly." He also pressed the point by stating that farmers have been adversely affected by these cross-border water disagreements.

These sentiments were echoed by the Bureau of Western Hemisphere Affairs, which has also criticized Mexico's failure to meet its obligations. According to the bureau, the neglect has devastated American agriculture, particularly in areas dependent on the Rio Grande's resources.

The Role of Legislative Voices

U.S. Senator Ted Cruz has emerged as a prominent voice in the conversation, signaling his support for the administration's stance. He labeled the situation a "man-made crisis" and praised recent actions. Cruz sees these steps as essential to coercing Mexico into fulfilling its part of the treaty.

Cruz encouraged the administration to continue exerting pressure, stating that these actions are what is necessary for ensuring treaty adherence. As the situation evolves, his participation remains central to efforts seeking resolution in this international water dispute.

Trump's stance features prominently in the ongoing dialogue, and he has suggested further measures to ensure compliance. Despite these efforts, the underlying dispute remains complex, involving international treaty obligations and deeply intertwined agricultural and economic impacts.

Negotiation and Strategic Actions

In asserting his administration's position, Trump announced that he paused water deliveries to Tijuana last month due to Mexico's noncompliance. Through this strategic decision, he aims to increase diplomatic pressure on Mexico. Trump's Agriculture Secretary, Brooke Rollins, plays a crucial role in defending interests, as America explores escalating retaliatory measures.

By indicating potential tariffs and sanctions, Trump warns of conceivable economic impacts on Mexico if the water owed under the treaty is not delivered. This suggests an increasing willingness to use economic levers to achieve compliance, a reflection of the significant challenges facing Texan farmers.

As the Trump administration maintains its position, the situation demands international negotiation. The challenges faced by farmers in South Texas cannot be overstated, and this cross-border issue remains a sensitive flashpoint in U.S.-Mexico relations.

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