Former President Donald Trump's 2024 campaign is now broadcasting confidence that he can win enough swing states to be elected president while Vice President Kamala Harris continues to fumble her way through the closing days of her campaign.
Senior advisers Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles and pollster Tony Fabrizio sent a memo to reporters on Sunday saying that the Harris/Walz campaign is "cracking" and that Democrats are losing momentum at a critical time as voters turn in absentee ballots and vote early in many states.
The latest numbers from Real Clear Politics show Trump gaining momentum as Harris loses it. When looking at an electoral map with no toss-ups, Trump gets 302 electoral votes to Harris's 236, as of Monday.
There are still three weeks until voting day, but the trendlines are becoming clear.
If nothing big surfaces to change things, and if the polling is correct, it will be a big change for the country (which seems to be what voters want).
While the media tried mightily to create momentum for Harris by letting her mostly hide from interviews, slide by in the interviews and debate she did show up for, and trumpeting her as much as they could, voters were able to see through these tactics and have refused to drink the Kool Aid.
In the last month-and-a-half, Harris's approval rating has slipped, and so has her election polling. Where the two candidates were dead even in September, Trump is now up 2% overall.
Trump's internal polling indicates that he is up 5% over Harris with independents and 13% better than in 2020.
His numbers with Blacks, especially Black men, are better. His numbers with Hispanics have swung an estimated 30%.
Former President Barack Obama even tried to shame Black men into voting for Harris, but she has not managed to convince many of them that she isn't tied to the status quo, and ready to drive the country even harder into the ground than her predecessor.
Plus, she comes across as a ditz. Enough men have tied themselves to ditzes and lived to regret it--they don't want to put the fate of the whole country into the hands of one.
Harris may very well be a lot smarter than anyone is giving her credit for, but she's sure not coming across that way.
Trump's internal polling shows voters think he's likely to do a better job than Harris as president (49% to 45%), more likely to bring change (47% to 43%), create jobs (47% to 42%), fight inflation (50% to 40%), improve the economy (50% to 41%) and improve respondents’ personal financial positions (52% to 40%).
Those numbers are hard to overcome, and Election Day could give voters exactly the change they've been asking for.
